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Edward Snyder, a cellphone industry
analyst with Charter Equity Research, often plays the role of
cautious pessimist. For instance, he questions whether smartphones
or data services will catch on as much as carriers hope, and he
unreservedly criticizes what he characterizes as their
underperforming cellular networks.
So the report he issued Monday bears
notice. Mr. Snyder said that his sources in the manufacturing and
retail channels indicated that Palm had sold 300,000 phones —
considerably higher than some estimates by analysts — and
that the company was struggling to keep up with demand. Mr. Snyder
estimates that the company now is producing 15,000 units a day and
will ship one million phones to Sprint in the first full quarter of
production.
Mr. Snyder wrote in his report that he
believes Palm will rapidly seek to expand its market —
despite the exclusive contract it struck with Sprint for the Pre.
Mr. Snyder notes that the deal doesn’t preclude Palm from
selling other devices that are built around the Pre’s
underlying operating system WebOS to competing carriers. Mr. Snyder
predicts Verizon will sell a WebOS device built by Palm in early
2010 and AT&T will introduce one shortly thereafter.
But would AT&T introduce a device that
could be seen as competing with the iPhone? Complicated question.
So far, Palm’s marketers have sought to position the Pre not
as an iPhone Killer but as a device that can succeed without taking
on Apple’s iconic device head-on.
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